hey everybody how's it going so this is
an interesting article from Bloomberg it
says the vaccinated or worried and
scientists don't have answers anecdotes
signal a surprising number of infections
and vaccinated and officials must
formulate plans despite a dearth of hard
data anecdotes tell us what the data
can't vaccinated people appear to be
getting the coronavirus at a
surprisingly High rate but exactly how
often isn't clear nor is it certain How
likely they are to spread the virus to
others and now there's a growing concern
that vaccinated people may be more
vulnerable to serious illness than
previously thought there's a dearth of
scientific studies with concrete answers
leaving public policy makers and
corporate Executives to formulate plans
based on fragmented information while
some are renewing Mass mandates are
delaying office reopenings others cite
the lack of clarity to justify staying
the course it can all feel like a mess
we have to be humble about what we do
know what we don't know says Tom frieden
a former director of Centers for Disease
Control and prevention and the head of
the non-profit resolve to save lives
there are a few things we can say
definitely one is that this is a hard
question to address
no
absent clear Public Health messaging
vaccinated people are left confused
about how to protect themselves just how
vulnerable they are is a key variable
not just for public health officials
trying to figure out say when booster
shots may be needed but also to inform
decisions about whether to roll back
reopenings emit a new wave of the virus
on a smaller scale the unknowns have
left music lovers unsure if it's okay to
see a concert and prompted a fresh round
of hanging ringing among parents
pondering what school is going to look
like in lieu of answers what has emerged
as a host of case studies providing
somewhat different pictures of
breakthrough infections variables
including when the surveys were
conducted whether the Delta varying was
present how much of the population was
vaccinated and even what the weather was
like at the time make it hard to compare
results in suss out patterns it's
difficult to know what data might
ultimately carry more heft it's quite
clear that we have more breakthroughs
now said Monica Gandhi an infectious
disease expert at the University of
California San Francisco we all know
someone who has had one but we don't
have great clinical data one of the best
known outbreaks among vaccinated people
occurred in the small Beach town of
Providence Massachusetts as thousands of
those vaccinated and unvaccinated alike
gathered on dance floors and at House
Parties over the Fourth of July weekend
to celebrate the holiday and what seemed
like a turning point in the pandemic
about three-fourths of the 469
infections were among vaccinated people
another authors of a CDC case study said
this might mean that they were just as
likely to transmit covet as the
unvaccinated even though they cautioned
as more people are vaccinated it's a
natural that they would account for a
larger share of covid-19 infections and
this one study was not sufficient to
draw any conclusions the incident
prompted the CDC to reverse a
recommendation that it issued just a few
weeks earlier and once again urged the
vaccinated to mask up still in certain
settings this is particularly strange to
me because at that particular event that
we're talking about in Provincetown
Rhode Island you had people that were
how do I put this
romance more romantic settings more
intimate more personal so you have a
setting where you have a lot of people
that were kissing hugging swapping spit
and because covet spread in that
particular setting now the CDC is going
to ask people to mask up in certain
settings
how do you mask up when
you're flirting and then kissing people
after being on a dance floor with them
like
that's a tough one that is a tough one
how how do you have intimacy and slash
or sexual relations
but stay safe from covert by wearing a
mask like that's
okay okay good one the rate of mild
symptomatic outbreaks in this population
was higher because a lot of indoor
activity including intimacy intimacy
okay so people are getting coveted while
being intimate
so wear a mask
oh a newly released far larger CDC case
study of infections in New York state
meanwhile found that the number of
breakthrough infections has steadily
ticked up since May accounting for
almost four percent of cases by mid-july
those researchers cautioned that factors
such as easing Public Health
restrictions in the rise of the highly
contagious Delta variant might impact
the results yet another CDC case study
in Colorado found that the Breakthrough
infection rate in one County Mesa was
significantly higher than the rest of
the state at seven percent versus five
the report suggests that it was perhaps
because a Delta variant was circulating
more widely there but also noted the
ages of patients in Mesa and the lower
vaccination rate may have played a role
research out of Israel seems to back the
idea that protection from severe disease
wanes in the months after inoculation
and as he went over in the last video if
you're under the age of 60 and you were
vaccinated 39 people in a country of
over 9 million
had a breakthrough case that led to a
hospitalization but I digress the
information is preliminary in severe
breakthrough cases are still rare but it
bolsters the case that some people will
need booster shots in the coming months
and you have customers at a bar here in
Detroit where the number of people in
the state hospitalized with confirmed
republicova nearly doubled over 10 days
in August case studies and data from
some states in the U.S have similarly
shown an increase in breakthrough cases
over time but with the Delta variants
also on the rise it's difficult to tell
whether waning immunity to any type of
coronavirus infection is to blame or if
the vaccinations are particularly
ineffective against the Delta varium it
could be both of course changing
Behavior among vaccinated people could
be a factor too as they return to social
Gatherings and travel and dining indoors
yes as you have more people decide that
they are not going to live their lives
not meeting people not going to events
not doing things and then they actually
start living their lives again you're
going to have an uptick in things that
is how things are
all that said some facts are well
established at this point vaccinated
people infected with the virus are much
less likely to need to go to the
hospital much less likely to need
intubation and much less likely to die
from illness there's no doubt that
vaccines provide significant protection
but a large porous proportion to the
nation almost 30 of us adults have not
been vaccinated a fact that is conspired
with the highly contagious deltavarium
to push the country into a new wave of
outbreaks which is why I suggest that
people get vaccinated but if they don't
get vaccinated then that is on them the
vaccines are available at no cost I know
taxes yes I get it but you get my point
that they're available at no cost and
you can get them within if you're in a
rural area you can get them if you're in
a poor area so at this point in my
opinion that's on you the big picture
here is that vaccines are working and
the reason for the spike in the US is we
have too little vaccine uptake frieden
said to a certain extent breakthrough
cases of any virus are expected in
clinical trials no covet vaccine was 100
effective even the best vaccines never
are the more the viruses in circulation
the greater the risk of breakthrough
cases it's also common for some aspects
of viral immunity to naturally Wane over
time for the time being there are simply
more questions than answers our
breakthrough infections ticking up
because of the Delta variant waning
immunity or return to normal life are
vaccinated people more vulnerable to
severe illness than previously thought
just how common to break through
infections it's anyone's guess it is
generally the case that we have to make
Public Health decisions based on
imperfect data frieden said yes but
there is just a lot we don't know and
what I'm finding is that lots of normal
average everyday people are making this
are not saying to themselves I don't
have all of the data therefore I am not
going to live my life they're saying I
don't have all of the data but we wore
masks and socially distance for a year
and a half we got vaccinated we waited
and now we're going to go back to the
semblance of some something resembling a
normal life what we do know over here as
it says is that is that breakthrough
while breakthrough cases are going to be
expected that the chance of
hospitalization intubation and dying are
way less likely by a large margin
if you are vaccinated and that seems to
be the point that most people are
focusing on and caring about at least
when I travel when I meet with people
when I'm going about my daily life that
seems to be what most people are
focusing on is that it vastly decreases
your chances of needing to be intubated
vastly it decreases your chances of
going to a hospital vastly decreases
your chance of death and do we have
perfect data no we don't we do not have
perfect data and when it comes to many
things in life many things where we take
risks
we don't have perfect data
but we have enough data for a great
number of the population to say
I'm going to live my life
I hope more people choose to get
vaccinated I hope these numbers
encourage people to get vaccinated but
it is what it is I'm kind of curious
what you all think about this it's again
it says that science can't keep up with
the virus the vaccinated or worried and
scientists don't have answers
but I'm not seeing as much worry I read
a lot of worry I read non-stop worry
when I log on to many of these websites
but when I actually go outside when I go
to a park when I say hi to my neighbor
when I meet my staff
when I met people in Vegas when I drive
when I I I'm just
I'm not seeing that worry manifest
itself
let me know what you think in the
comments down below that's it for today
and as always
I hope you learned something I'll see
you all in the next video bye