audition with john campbell he's a
former nurse teacher and emergency room
nurse now working
as a health educator he joins us from
carlisle in
england welcome to dw what was your
reaction when you heard this news
not at all surprised in fact i wondered
why it's taking quite so long
quite quite so long to come through
because there's been quite a few
high-risk behaviors to be taken part in
not wearing a mask
going down to places that are quite
confined we know this virus spreads
indoors but 90 percent of the cases are
endorsed
but we also know that this virus is very
transmissible
very easy to catch and we know there's a
high prevalence of it in the united
states
so i wasn't taught surprised to hear
that
okay now the president's a 74 year old
man he's six foot four and obese we're
told he's in good spirits
but given those general health
conditions what can we guess about
his likelihood of making a full recovery
well yeah he is a 74 year old man that
is a particular risk factor being with
the age
also being a man is an increase risk as
well obviously his wife is going to be
at lesser risk
we believe he weighs 110 kilograms which
is actually quite heavy that gives them
a body mass index of
just a little over 30 and we also
believe you like
eating as in hot dogs so there's got a
few things that are risk
is there he's also got a few things in
his favor we believe he's fairly active
he plays golf regularly as we
he's a complete nun drinker he's a
non-smoker and he does have regular
medical tests
but we can actually quantify now some
degree how likely it is
that you'll make a recovery or how
likely it is that things go badly
there's a recent better analysis of 111
uh
different pace being put together by an
australian team
and at 75 years of age they've found
that infection fatalism
is 4.2 so we can actually quantify this
now that means it gives them a 95.8
percent
make full recovery but of course he
could be ill in the meantime we don't
know about
if you think of the case of our prime
minister boris he was actually working
at home
reason it wasn't well but he wasn't that
ill either
about nine days and then his condition
deteriorated sharply
this is a very unpredictable virus and
it could go either way
there is an element of risk here there's
no doubt about that that risk of
mortality is in the order of somewhere
under five percent okay so we're we're
expecting uh
good things we're expecting a as a
recovery but despite
suffering only mild symptoms uh he has
postponed all
immediate campaign events is that what
you'd expect
absolutely i mean he's infectious at the
moment people are most infectious
perhaps the day before they get symptoms
and for the first few days after they
get symptoms
now as far as we know the president was
diagnosed with an antigen test he was
tested yesterday
and he tweeted at one o'clock this
morning that he was infectious
now at that time as far as we know we
had no symptoms but now
saying that the president and the first
lady both have mild symptoms
so actually today is his most contagious
day possibly
so it's very important the ice they'll
have to carry on isolating as long as
the
symptoms and for some time after that so
i imagine he'll be isolated until his
is testing negative so he's got a bit to
go and an unpredictable course
all right uh john campbell a health
educator thank you
thank you