welcome to today's update looking at a
few countries this morning and i think
there might be a lesson we can learn
from history as well today so
stick around now starting off with the
global cases today
um these are the official figures um
nearly quarter of a million extra cases
in 24 hours
on the official figures and of course as
more and more testing programs come
online around the world
this is getting closer to the actual
figure but this of course is still
going to be a huge underestimate of the
total amount of infections
and in 24 hours well over three and a
half thousand deaths
recorded globally now i want to start
off with australia today
and we know there's been this outbreak
in victoria now
things are getting better there was an
extra 35 cases
in victoria giving rise to 19827 cases
in the state of victoria down there in
the bottom right hand corner of
australia and 75 of the country's active
cases are currently in victoria
now police enforcement has unfortunately
been necessary there's been 74 people
arrested and
176 fined as the police crack down on
people
breaking the quarantine now i can
understand this melbourne's been locked
down for six weeks now it hasn't been
easy
melbourne has had a difficult time and
melbourne really is the kind of sentinel
for australia containing the cases in in
in melbourne
means that the cases aren't getting to
the rest of australia
but sadly that has meant that in
victoria as a whole there's been
720 deaths
so i'm seeing victoria uh victoria and
melbourne particularly as the sentinel
it kind of the melbourne's taking it on
the chin for the rest of australia but
it is working
there's been cases as we'll see in new
south wales and
uh victoria but no other states in
australia so it is working
now i just wanted to tell you a bit of a
story it's not a story it's a historical
account
and i'll post this in the notes it's
about the derbyshire village of eem
and uh this goes back to 1665.
now what happened there was a flea
infested bundle of cloth went from
london to this derbyshire village in
eem in 1665 the year of the great
uh plague in london and
pretty soon the bubonic plague broke out
in the village of eem
and uh there's multiple references i
haven't put a reference on the notes
because there's so many references for
this but the villagers got together with
the local
the local church people and they decided
that they were going to
stay in the village and not spread the
infection to the surrounded areas
and on into the north of england and it
was decided that there would be what we
would now call bubbles the families
lived in household bubbles
and that went to the extent that the
families were expected to bury their own
dead outdoor church services were held
with family bubbles we haven't invented
this it was invented way back in
1665 so the church services went
outdoors
with separated families the entire
village was quarantined
trade was via marked rocks around the
circumference of the village
money would be left in pits filled with
vinegar to clean the money
and goods would be left and of course
the village spent pretty well all of its
money
during the isolation period
it was over 40 months it took for the
plague to run its course
the population at the start was between
350 and 800
and the paris record showed that 273
people died of the plague
so i'm going to put those notes in there
for you to um
to read through
about the village of e and this this is
very famous in uh
in english culture this this village and
what they did
and what is amazing about this story
it's not a story it's an account um what
is amazing about this account
is that no one left the village in 14
months
so parents would see one child die and
instead of sending the other child away
they stayed in the village
a man would see his brother or sister
die knowing he could well
he or she could well die and they stayed
in the village everyone stayed in the
village
and elizabeth hancock
buried six of her children and husband
in an eight-day period
and yet still stayed in the village and
by doing so they prevented the plague
going for the rest of the country
this is the level of
nobility that human beings are capable
of
and at least they were i believe they
still are of course
this was in the year 16 65 the year of
the great
plague of of london so very famous
you can still go to the village of em
the parish records are there
uh the plaques are on the houses to say
where people died and uh
a remarkably moving experience if you
ever get that chance to do that
and i've managed to go through all of
that without
the emotion i uh expressed during the
preparation of that
just what those people did absolutely
amazing
and in a similar way melbourne is the
sentinel
um for australia so just encourage the
encourage the people in melbourne
at the moment really that's kind of what
that was about
but anywhere where sacrifices are being
made um
but we have these great examples of
nobility to
to look towards now
new south wales um four new cases
so um very much less affected than
victoria death's 52 now in new south
wales
but in all of the other straight states
in australia no new cases
so it's working this this sentinel
policy is is working
the the vice is not spreading around
australia it is working
and then if we look at the uh the graph
for australia
um we see this let me get rid of me
a minute there we go
yep so um this was the first outbreak
that we knew of back in march april this
was the second outbreak much bigger
mostly in victoria some in new south
wales
but we do see that it's working now of
course the cumulative number of cases
can only rise
that's always going to rise of course
and let's hope that becomes flat now
this is what we're hoping for
as these cases go dramatically down
as a result of the effects that we're
seeing in melbourne so
it is it is working it is working and um
maybe it's helpful to remember the
example of uh
the example of eem in in derbyshire and
the self-sacrifice of the people
i mean how many lies did those people in
eem save you know was a million
we'll never know of course but it could
have been a lot of people
now israel we didn't notice israel
yesterday
uh benjamin netanyahu stay at home order
has issued a state home order
country-wide lockdown from friday so
it's not yet
another few days start of the jewish
high holiday so he wouldn't do it
lightly
schools restaurants and hotels will shut
down restrictions on movement so we did
see the dramatic
increase in cases in israel on the
graphs yesterday
not quite sure what's happened
the news is actually quite hard to get i
haven't had much detailed news from
israel but
anyway the vice has basically got out of
control there and those measures are
being deemed necessary by the government
so quite drastic measures really in
israel
now it's a couple of european countries
we don't normally mention austria
population 9 million this just
illustrates the increasing cases in
europe really
the cases are increasing pretty well
everywhere in europe
most deeply in some places than others
so over the weekend 869 new cases
largely in vienna the capital
the chancellor has said they they are
experiencing a second wave
sebastian kurtz he expects the cases to
go up to a thousand a day within a few
days
mandatory mask wearing in public places
now this is good
because what i'm hoping with this
mandatory mask wearing in public places
is that the people that do become
infected are going to get less
severe disease that's what
the current evidence is pointing towards
so that is encouraging
and i do hope you managed to watch that
very encouraging video yesterday about
the decreasing death rates
we believe in all age groups
the data from germany suggests it's in
all age groups we haven't got data from
everywhere because not everywhere clex
data is comprehensively
as german it does but it's looking
encouraging the
the infection fatality rates have been
dropping significantly
and let's hope that carries on as a
result of the mask wearing in austria
czech republic also got on new cases and
the health minister said nobody expected
such a spike
so they seem to have been taken a bit by
surprise there in the czech republic
which is a bit
is a bit surprising really but never
mind now the uk
um tracker app today
shows 4 22 new cases
and 44 947 people with the infection
today in the uk that's according to the
coverage symptom tracker app
if anything this underestimates because
these are people that are symptomatic
it doesn't count the asymptomatic cases
now the office for national statistics
data is out
today out this morning always a bit
behind of course so this is the 30th of
august of the 5th of september
2020. in that week
39 700 people had the infection during
the week
so we compare that to what it is today
and we see it's gone up this number is
higher but of course this number is
actually higher so
what is it is it 52 000. we don't really
know because of the
uh the the people that are asymptomatic
um so we see the number has gone up in
the uk
no question about that from the week of
the 30th of august to the 5th
of september uh
now that equates to about 1 in 1400
people who had the infection
in that week now in recent weeks this is
interesting in we
recent weeks uh 17 to 24 year olds
and uh 25 to 34 year olds
are the main increasing demographic
people aged over 50 appear to be
stabilizing or declining in numbers
so we see that the spread is very much
among us the younger
demographic that is the infection driver
in the uk at the moment the younger
age group where the virus is spreading
and this is consistent with what we've
seen
basically all over europe for some time
now that most spread is in the younger
the younger demographic um
28th of august uh week 35 in england and
wales
deaths death's always a bit of a delay
of course because of the
filling out the death certificates and
the um the registration process
so in the week there was 932 deaths
that's above the five year average
but you know for quite a few weeks
before this we were
below the five-year average so in a way
that's not too
uh unsurprising not too surprising
really not too much
unexpected now in that week
the 28th of august a week weekend in the
28th of august um
week 35 101 deaths mention novel
coronavirus
as a contributing cause to the death
that's 1.1 of all debts in england and
this is the lowest number involved in
covenant 19 in the past 24 weeks
so this is consistent with the infection
fatality rate dropping off
quite significantly as it has the lowest
number of deaths involving coven 19 in
the past 24 weeks
now we don't know what it is the week
after that or this week but that's what
it was
the week ending the 28th of august
and that represents a 27 decrease
compared with week 34 the week before
so covered deaths we see dropping down
really quite
nicely not as fast as we would like of
course these are still deaths
but they are decreasing as of up to that
date the uk as a whole
uh deaths were 10 337
for the week for the uk as a whole
that's england scotland northern ireland
wales a bit higher than the five year
average and 110 deaths involved covered
19.
um 39 fewer deaths than the week before
so again we see
covered 19 specific deaths up to this
period of time
up to the end of august continuing to
continuing to drop so
that's good let's just hope that keeps
up
now the united states has had a bit of
an outbreak of uh virus and
parties i watched a video of a party
being broken up in new york
quite a few parties appeared to be
college related giving rise to new
clusters in colleges
and as of uh this is old data this is
about two days old now
uh no yesterday this was yesterday's
figure 88 000 cases on campus
so far so 88 000
students have tested positive on
campuses college campuses around the
united states
a significant amount and this has given
rise to 150 colleges with a hundred or
more cases each so there's 150
colleges around the united states now
with clusters
there's been indoor political rallies
which just bemuses me entirely
not a good idea and the fires and
storms in the united states are really
quite appalling
now i think i can play you a
video of some of this
i can't even see the pier with brian
um
yesterday i was out here at the same
time
and there were tons of birds
pelicans seagulls whatever
no birds and what this
is this is fog
compressed down by smoke
and it's four o'clock in the afternoon
yeah so there we go i hope you got that
okay now that was from evelyn
and that was taken at uh k u kos which
are probably pronounced wrong but i
didn't notice
on the map it's halfway between uh san
francisco and
los angeles on the california coast and
we've looked at this before but the uh
the smoke can cause inflammation in the
lungs and make
infection more likely but the the health
risks from
the smoke is just incredible not to
mention the effects on the planet as a
whole
this is really um very concerning what's
happening
and and then florida and gulf of mexico
area
more storms expected so quite a few
things are coming together so
it's a difficult time for many people in
the southern and uh
western united states i mean the fires
that the fires are in california oregon
washington and we saw yesterday
lindsay's report from british columbia
with the uh very extensive smoke
now yesterday i was talking about a
video i'd watched with dr falchi
and i actually messed up and didn't
print the paper out so but it's
interesting so i thought i'd bring it to
you today
um do listen to the whole interview
uh herbs not recommended if you want to
use them fine
and we had a debate about herbs versus
herbs but there you go
other concoctions i would not use now
what dr fauci has said here
and and this this is fairly well
recognized is that you can't boost the
immune system
beyond its optimum physiological level
but various deficiencies
can bring it down below its
physiological uh most efficient level
and dr fauci himself takes vitamin c and
vitamin d
um it's pity it's not in the official
guidelines but he's taking it
himself now i know it is in the official
guidelines someone pulled me up on this
yesterday
but the doses are remarkably low
the uk guidelines and the us guidelines
rem
advise a remarkably low dose
and it would be fascinating if dr fouch
is watching which of course he isn't
but if he was i'd just love to know what
dose of vitamin d is taking that would
be really
interesting to know we know he's well we
believe he's taking a high dose of
vitamin c much higher than i would take
but
his vitamin d dose we don't know
wouldn't it be interesting to find out
if anyone knows him asking what vitamin
d does are you taking dr anthony voucher
do tell us so we can all benefit from
your
wisdom now um talked about flu shots as
well
dr falchi said everyone over six months
or older should get a flu shot
so he's pretty definitive about that and
he said immunity
where it may wear off with a flu shot so
he gets his on
in the middle of october because most
flu starts in november
and um
november december january february for
most flu
so he tends to get his later in the year
so i thought that was interesting
indicating that the immunity from the
flu shot might only last for a few
months
but this is encouraging australia's had
its lightest flu season in memory
fantastic so very few cases of the flu
in australia
this is the normal influenza of course
that we
that we talk about where have i gone now
i am
yeah this is the normal influenza the
seasonal influenza mostly influenza a
now of course what seems to have
happened here is
it it looks like i mean these flu
viruses are there every year
sometimes they're more transmissible
sometimes they they cause more
severe disease they vary quite a lot um
but
with everyone taking the precautions
against covered 19 in australia
those precautions are also working
against seasonal seasonal influenza
so my hopes are that with high vaccine
uptake on influenza
flu jabs this year and with the social
distancing and the mask wearing and the
hand hygiene
that we're going to have to keep
practicing because of the cover 19
anyway
i'm really hoping this is going to
completely damp down
the influenza season that let's hope
that is the case
it all makes sense unless there's a
particularly nasty influenza virus but
from the australia situation it looks
not
and the australia flu season of course
comes first in the year because it's
there it's there winter now
so very often the flu viruses that
affect australia come to europe
and cause our infections in three four
five six months after
so the fact that the australians have
got a light season to me is a good
indicator that we may well
have also which of course will be
brilliant
now just a couple of countries finish um
india um great increases in cases in
india
and uh i'm getting k i'm getting reports
from rural areas it's hard to get good
news out of india but i am getting
reports that um
in rural areas some people are not
getting
the quality of medical care that we
would expect
and that's putting it mildly so that is
going to increase the case fatality rate
unquestionably
in india though they are testing quite a
lot so that is
good but getting on for five million
infections now
now ethiopia hard to get news out of
africa as well we've had news out of
south africa where things are improving
but increasing cases in ethiopia up
there in the top right hand corner
nearly of africa
and they're starting to manufacture
their own test kits
i first read that and i thought that is
absolutely brilliant they're starting to
manufacture their own test kits in
ethiopia
but of course it's chinese manufacturing
it's just a chinese setup that's moved
into ethiopia
so unfortunately it doesn't look like an
ethiopian initiative it looks more like
a chinese
initiative still good they'll get the
test kits done but
um it's a pity the ethiopians aren't
doing it on their own
and they have opened a field hospital
for 200 severe cases
although as i say the news is very
difficult to get out of africa at the
moment
the news we have had and we've looked at
this in detail on previous videos
is that it looks like the infection
fatality rate in africa is going to be
or so far is very
low it was reasonably high in south
africa but it looks like it's going to
be lower
in other african countries partly due to
the
demographic and partly due to other
factors that we don't yet
fully understand so that's us for today
thank you for
watching and i hope you got something
out of that video always good to have
you along if you've stayed to the end