hey guys welcome to the liberal hive
mind a channel slowly focused on
exposing the Abundant hypocrisy of the
lab finally people are discussing the
ideas that we have been mentioning for
so long I do not care what the polls say
on surface level even though most of the
polls that we're seeing right now are
starting to favor Republicans and it's
painting a very good image I don't care
what the surface level Democrat versus
Republican numbers are I really want to
focus on all of the factors in all of
the Nuance that is how you get the True
Image the true picture of what is most
likely to come in the election in 2022
and this has been my grievance with what
all of these Democrats on Twitter have
been saying they completely ignore all
of the most reputable pollsters and then
just link something like this
[Laughter]
yes of course fetterman's leading by 21
points Kelly's leading by 15 Warnock by
10 and Ryan by six totally believable
great job Echelon insights but for real
Democrats post this stuff because it
fits their copium dreams it fits what
they're hoping and they actually believe
it these absolute garbage pulls and even
some of these more perceived reputable
pollsters the numbers on surface level
mean nothing at the end of the day there
are so many factors especially when
trying to gauge Republicans support and
Republican voter turnout and the moment
you start to see pollsters or particular
polls apply some of these factors to
their polling data or if you delve into
the actual numbers and filter out some
of the nonsense and some of the crap
like pulling all adults for instance and
to start to focus in on only likely
voters motivated voters a completely
different picture emerges and this right
here friends is exactly why the
pollsters get it so wrong every single
time unless we're in a Democrat favorite
environment and well this week folks
surprisingly enough we have a string of
pollsters who are finally screening
specifically for likely voters and well
let's just say it's not exactly what
Democrats were hoping for it's painting
a very very different image let's just
say a leftist meltdown inducing image as
Republicans continue to Surge let me
show you guys exactly what's going on
here as finally people are starting to
wake up to the voter enthusiasm Gap and
the Republican voter turnout element of
this election we've got some stuff to
get into so let's roll the tape alright
friends so people are finally starting
to focus in on the most important factor
even Fox News did a piece on it this
week with Robert kahali from Trafalgar
group Republican turnout will exceed
even what we predict Robert Haley why do
pollsters keep getting the numbers wrong
and on the reporting GOP support it's a
pattern here
well it certainly is and I think part of
it is that they keep asking these
ridiculously long questionnaires and
they just lose average people and in 20
you know 2016 you had shot Trump voters
who are hesitant because uh just to say
who they were for they didn't want to be
judged for it and in 2020 they were a
little leery to even participate in
polls and I think this time it could be
worse Robert I got about a a minute left
a little less you have a really
brilliant strategy where you guys ask
the neighbors about how you ask voters
how their neighbors would vote how does
that work how do you eliminate bias that
way well what we would do is we would
just ask it was the device I learned a
few years back we would just ask people
you know how do you think your neighbors
are voting it's a projection device and
it would allow people to explain that uh
yeah yes maybe I'm I'm for Hillary but
my neighbors are off for Trump and it
let them say they were for Trump without
being judged this year our fear is that
people are not going to be polled that
are Trump supporters because all that
Biden has said and all the apparent
attacks and people coming after them and
they're just hesitant to even
participate I think everybody will
underestimate them including us
Republican turnout will exceed even what
we predict and well like usual Robert
Haley has a point and I know this
because the data is backing him up a
bunch of new polls recently released
2022 generic Congressional ballot
pulling among likely voters alone take a
look at this data set ABC slash The
Washington Post a left-leaning pollster
showing the GOP in the lead at 51 to 46
percent a plus five lead when screening
specifically for likely voters CBS
yougov showing a GOP lead of plus one
this is incredibly significant because
as you guys know yougov is one of the
worst most Democrat biased pollsters
currently calculated in all of the
averages and they've been showing
Democrat leads all the way up to plus
eight over the last two months well
immediately as they screen for likely
voters would you look at that look at
that look at that yes yeah look at that
the GOP suddenly takes the lead even in
a massively oversampled Democrat survey
I've showed you guys countless you gov
polls when we delve into the data where
they're under sampling Republican voters
by over 10 percentage points but the
list goes on we have the mclallen
Republican poll and the data for
Progress Democrat poll both showing GOP
leads and Trafalgar groups showing a
plus six lead all of these polls
specifically focusing in on likely
voters this is what I mean by the
Numbers themselves don't mean anything
you gotta look at the numbers and then
you gotta apply the factors if you're
looking at a poll from whatever polling
outlet and it's just looking at adults
and it's over sampling Democrats what
kind of result do you think you're gonna
get you're pulling all kinds of people
who aren't politically involved all
kinds of people who don't necessarily
pay attention and they have the default
value of Republicans bad Fox News evil
orange man bad and he asked them who are
they going to vote for and they're going
to say uh I guess the Democrats I guess
Joe Biden but the question is is that
person likely to vote in a midterm is
that person likely to skip going out to
dinner or going to the bar taking a girl
on a date sacrificing their personal
social life in order to go vote and wait
in line for however many hours depending
on the situation in many cases that
person will not show up and the same
thing with young voters many young
voters talk a big game they have all
these grandiose political ideas and
stances they're staunch Democrats
staunch socialists they spend a whole
lot of time on Twitch watching Hassan
[ __ ] and attacking MaGa chuds on rslash
Politics on Reddit but will they go vote
a significant portion won't guess what
folks Republican voters and independent
voters who are currently being crushed
by the increases in cost of living that
are seeing their 401ks disintegrate
people are seeing the increase in crime
in their communities people who are
seeing businesses suffer under Democrat
leadership those people are showing up
and guess what they're voting Republican
and they're planning on voting
Republican in the most important
districts take a look at this this is
from the ABC slash Washington Post poll
Republicans hold a 21 point lead on
generic Congressional ballot in
Battleground districts Republicans at 55
plus 21 over Democrats at 34 in moderate
Battleground States and Battleground
districts just like I've been saying
Independents are splitting for the
Republicans at a two to one ratio in
many cases and we're seeing that right
over here Republicans not only leading
Republicans leading by 21 points in the
mo most important most pivotal
Battleground districts you mean to tell
me that Democrats stand a chance here oh
but Libra hive mind didn't you see the
poll where John fetterman is leading by
24 points oh didn't you see the poll
where Liz Cheney is winning by 75 points
no pay attention pay attention to
Suburban voters pay attention to
Independent voters pay attention to the
political Trend amongst the most
important voter blocks and pay attention
to likely voters I mean just take a look
at this on Real Clear Politics just so
you guys can see it visually all of the
polls conducted in the earlier portion
of the month almost all of them except
for one are among registered voters
Democrats are leading all of a sudden
the last one two three four polls that
were released the ones that we're
talking about and this is actually
emitting Trafalgar group or rather
actually Trafalgar group did a likely
voter earlier in the month that's the
one that stands out all of a sudden the
race flips on its head and Republicans
lead in every single poll this is what
happens when you actually apply the
important factor when collecting your
data once again the party of science is
looking at this whole thing completely
unscientifically oh this one poll agrees
with my narrative and confirms my world
view therefore oh abortion my Angry
women are gonna win us this election no
and even that argument is completely
ridiculous the idea that abortion or the
most recent Roe v Wade decision only
helps generate voter enthusiasm for the
Democrats as former Governor Christie on
ABC's this week puts it that's not true
at all let's let's talk about the
abortion issue because 84 of the voters
say the economy is their top issue only
62 percent say abortion and when you go
deeper into the poll and look at some of
the crosstabs on this what our poll is
showing is that the pro-life people are
more motivated by the abortion issue to
vote in these midterms then the
pro-choice people are what our poll is
showing is that the pro-life people are
more motivated by the abortion issue to
vote in these midterms than pro-choice
people are this once again is exactly
what I I've been saying the keys here
are voter enthusiasm the keys are
demographics important issues and every
single one of those factors currently
benefits the Republican party every
single one the issues and the policies
Republicans are winning we've covered
that a million times voter enthusiasm
Republicans are winning likely voter
polling data Republicans are winning
demographic shifts Republicans are
winning winning with Suburban voters
independent voters they're gaining black
votes they're gaining Hispanic votes
they're gaining support amongst Asian
American voters across the board
Republicans are gaining Republicans are
winning and the moment the data just
starts to apply one of these factors
just screening for likely voters all of
a sudden across the board we see
Republican leads it's an I Told You So
moment I'm sticking to my prediction
here Republicans win the House
Republicans win the Senate and I don't
think it's going to be even close this
might be the red tsunami that a lot of
you guys have been waiting for that's
what I got for you though hopefully you
enjoyed it if you did did make sure to
leave a like and possibly subscribe to
the channel if you guys are up for it
I'm gonna get back to work thanks for
watching and I'll see you on the next
one